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Four degrees of preparation: Greater Manchester plans for adaptation

A 4°C increase in global temperature was once touted as a worst-case scenario: something we may experience at the close of the 21st century.

Now it’s looking like reality, as global carbon emissions continue to accelerate and emissions reductions targets are missed. In fact, research suggests it may even happen as soon as the 2060s.

As our climate warms and sea levels rise, extreme weather events occur more frequently with devastating consequences: over the last thirty years, the majority of Europe’s catastrophic events have been climate related, with huge economic costs.

And Greater Manchester is no different. Our region is already changing, broadly in line with the direction of the future climate projections. By 2050, Greater Manchester’s annual mean temperature could have increased by as much as 3.6°C, with our winters 36% wetter and summers 36% drier.

We need to begin building resilience to the impacts of climate change, ensuring the stability of our society, our financial economy and the natural economy that sustains our daily lives.

It is now time for Greater Manchester to begin adapting to four degrees and beyond.

How to use this website

This website houses the reports, presentations and papers which are the outcome of the EcoCities research programme to date. Research is organised into five themes:

At each theme page, you will find an overview and the research outputs related to that theme. We have also included related resources from outside of the programme which you may find useful. Each section also makes available a link to the GRaBS spatial mapping tool, back issues of the EcoCities Blueprint newsletter and associated media coverage.

You will then be able to read each piece of EcoCities research, with the longer reports available for download.

Our Ten minute read is a document which introduces the programme and its research outputs, interrogating the research in terms of wider issues and making recommendations for further action. Feel free to download this to read at your leisure.

We hope you enjoy navigating the website. Should you have any enquiries, we would be interested to hear from you. Please email ecocities@manchester.ac.uk with your query, and we will be in touch.